国际航协：让航空航天远离贸易战

Group 1 - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has downgraded its global airline industry net profit forecast for 2025 to $36 billion, down from the previous estimate of $36.6 billion, due to trade tensions and declining consumer confidence [1] - IATA predicts that total revenue for the global airline industry will reach $979 billion in 2025, with passenger numbers expected to hit 4.99 billion, both lower than previous forecasts [1] - IATA's chairman, Walsh, emphasized that increasing trade barriers could harm the economy and the airline industry, while calling for governments to keep aerospace out of trade wars [1] Group 2 - The recovery of the civil aviation passenger market post-pandemic has led to record numbers of travelers, but airlines are facing challenges due to aircraft delivery delays and supply chain bottlenecks [2] - There is a backlog of over 17,000 aircraft orders globally, significantly higher than the pre-pandemic backlog of 10,000-11,000, indicating potential delivery times extending up to 14 years [2] - IATA's report indicates that the average age of airline fleets has increased from 13 years in 2015 to 15 years, with fleet replacement rates at only half of what they were in 2020 [3]