智通财经网·2025-06-03 23:02Core Viewpoint - The recent legislative developments in the U.S. and Hong Kong regarding stablecoins signify a growing recognition and potential legitimization of stablecoins, primarily dollar-pegged, which may enhance the dollar's dominance in the cryptocurrency space [1][2]. Group 1: Stablecoin Market Overview - Stablecoins are typically pegged to stable assets like fiat currencies (mainly the dollar), precious metals, or other cryptocurrencies to maintain value stability [2]. - Since 2020, the stablecoin market has seen significant growth, with a current market capitalization of nearly $245 billion, driven by factors such as efficiency in payments, increased demand from the expanding cryptocurrency market, and geopolitical risks [2]. - The potential implementation of regulatory frameworks could provide new momentum for market development, enhancing the "social consensus" around stablecoins and attracting more investment [2]. Group 2: Impact on Global Currency System - The expansion of stablecoins, particularly dollar-pegged ones, reinforces the dollar's position in the global currency system, potentially impacting the value of more volatile fiat currencies [3]. - While the growth of the dollar stablecoin market may increase demand for U.S. Treasury bonds, its overall effect on short-term bonds is limited, as short-term rates are primarily influenced by Federal Reserve policies rather than market supply and demand [3]. - The current challenges facing U.S. fiscal policy, including persistent deficits and high interest payments, remain critical issues that stablecoin development cannot resolve [3].