港股开盘 | 恒生指数低开0.05%：携程集团(09961)跌2%

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is undergoing a transformation, with the AI industry cycle expected to lead the market upward, supported by strong capital inflows and a favorable policy environment [2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - The Hang Seng Index opened down 0.05%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.34%, with Ctrip Group (09961) declining by 2% [1]. - Historical trends indicate that each market cycle has a leading industry, with the current AI industry cycle likely to drive the Hong Kong stock market upward [2]. Group 2: Capital Inflows and Valuation - Significant capital inflows from mainland China are enhancing the pricing power of Hong Kong stocks, with foreign capital gradually improving its allocation towards Chinese assets [2]. - The Hang Seng Index's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio has increased from approximately 7.5 times to 10.5 times, aligning with the ten-year average, indicating ongoing valuation recovery [3]. Group 3: IPO Market and Investment Opportunities - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a significant year for Hong Kong's IPO market, providing a crucial platform for domestic companies to raise foreign capital [3]. - The Hong Kong stock market is evolving into a global technology capital hub, attracting high-quality domestic tech companies and linking them with international capital [4]. Group 4: Policy Support and Market Structure - The Hong Kong government has implemented several policies to support the stock market, including lowering stamp duties and optimizing trading mechanisms to enhance liquidity and attractiveness [5]. - The influx of quality core assets into the Hong Kong market is expected to influence trading in the A-share market, potentially shifting pricing power southward [4].