IOT Stock: How To Trade Samsara Ahead Of Its Earnings?

Core Insights - Samsara Inc. is scheduled to report its earnings on June 5, 2025, with historical data indicating a 62% positive one-day return rate post-earnings announcements since 2022, a median increase of 14.7%, and a maximum single-day positive return of 27.9% [1][5][7] Financial Performance - Current consensus estimates predict earnings of $0.06 per share on revenues of$351 million, compared to earnings of $0.03 per share on revenues of$281 million in the same quarter last year [3] - Samsara has a market capitalization of $26 billion and generated$1.2 billion in revenue over the past twelve months, but reported an operating loss of $185 million and a net loss of$155 million during that period [4] Historical Earnings Reaction - Over the past five years, there have been 13 earnings data points for Samsara, with 8 positive and 5 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 62% positive return rate, which increases to 64% when considering the last three years [7] - The median of the 8 positive returns is 15%, while the median of the 5 negative returns is -12% [7] Trading Strategies - Two primary strategies for traders include understanding historical probabilities to position before earnings releases or analyzing immediate and medium-term returns post-earnings to inform subsequent actions [2] - A less risky strategy involves examining the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings, allowing traders to take positions based on the strongest correlations [6]