Down 40% This Year, Is UnitedHealth Group's Dividend in Danger?

Core Viewpoint - UnitedHealth Group's stock has experienced a significant decline of over 40% in 2025, yet it remains one of the largest healthcare companies with a market cap exceeding $270 billion [1] Financial Performance - The stock's dividend yield has risen to 2.8%, surpassing the S&P 500 average of 1.3%, which raises concerns about the potential risk to the dividend [2] - UnitedHealth's current payout ratio is approximately 35%, indicating a healthy buffer for dividend payments [5] - Over the last 12 months, UnitedHealth generated a free cash flow of $24.9 billion while paying out $7.7 billion in dividends, suggesting the dividend is secure as long as cash flow remains strong [6] Future Concerns - There are significant risks related to a criminal investigation into the company's billing practices and potential Medicare fraud, which could impact future financial stability [9] - The U.S. government's potential cuts to healthcare spending may pose additional challenges to the company's growth prospects [9] - Recent news of CEO Andrew Witty's resignation has further contributed to investor uncertainty [10] Investment Outlook - Despite current risks, the dividend appears safe, and the company plays a crucial role in providing healthcare coverage to millions [11] - The stock is trading at less than 13 times its trailing earnings, which is significantly lower than the S&P 500 average of just under 24, indicating potential long-term value for investors willing to endure short-term volatility [12][13]