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How SMCI Stock Is Riding Nvidia's Blackwell Wave
SMCISuper Micro Computer(SMCI) Forbes·2025-06-05 09:30

Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock has seen a significant increase, driven by analyst upgrades, a 20billionpartnershipwithDataVolt,andpotentialshortsqueezedynamics[2][3]StockPerformanceSMCIstockrosenearly520 billion partnership with DataVolt, and potential short squeeze dynamics [2][3] Stock Performance - SMCI stock rose nearly 5% in a recent trading session and is approximately 35% higher over the past month [2] - As of May 2025, around 20% of SMCI's outstanding shares were held in short positions, indicating potential for a short squeeze [2] Financial Performance - Nvidia's recent Q1 results positively impacted SMCI, with Blackwell GPU sales doubling and constituting 70% of Nvidia's data center revenue [3] - SMCI's revenues have increased significantly, with an average growth rate of 68.1% over the last three years, and a 82.5% increase from 9.3 billion to 21billioninthepast12months[8]Quarterlyrevenuesrose19.521 billion in the past 12 months [8] - Quarterly revenues rose 19.5% to 5.7 billion from 3.7 billion a year prior [8] Valuation Metrics - SMCI holds a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.2, compared to 3.0 for the S&P 500, indicating it may be undervalued [7] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for SMCI is 22.4, while the S&P 500 stands at 26.4 [7] Profitability Analysis - SMCI's operating income over the past four quarters was 1.3 billion, resulting in a low operating margin of 6.1% compared to 13.2% for the S&P 500 [9] - The net income margin for SMCI is 5.3%, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 11.6% [9] Financial Stability - SMCI's debt stood at 2.5billionwithamarketcapitalizationof2.5 billion with a market capitalization of 25 billion, resulting in a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 9.7% [10] - Cash and cash equivalents amount to $2.5 billion, leading to a strong cash-to-assets ratio of 23.6% [10] Resilience During Downturns - SMCI stock has shown more resilience than the S&P 500 during recent downturns, recovering fully from significant declines in past crises [11][12][13] Overall Outlook - SMCI exhibits strong growth and financial stability but faces challenges with profitability and governance issues, including past allegations of accounting irregularities [14]