Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry is projected to grow from 958.93 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 8.73% during this period, driven by demand for AI and data center technologies [2] - Shipment volume in the semiconductor market is expected to increase from 1.40 trillion units in 2025 to 2.29 trillion units by 2030, at a CAGR of 10.32% [3] AMD Insights - AMD's data center revenues surged 57.2% year over year to 51.6 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, up 143% year over year, driven by demand for CopperEdge and FiberEdge products [7] - The launch of the CopperEdge portfolio in April 2025 includes solutions that enable 800G and 1.6T connectivity for AI/ML data centers, focusing on power savings and performance [8] - Semtech has strengthened collaborations with cloud service providers, enhancing its position in next-generation data center infrastructure [9] Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, AMD shares have decreased by 2.8%, while SMTC shares have fallen by 38.5%, attributed to a challenging macroeconomic environment [11] - Both AMD and SMTC shares are currently considered overvalued, with AMD trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 5.65X and SMTC at 3.09X [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's 2025 earnings is 1.66 per share, indicating an 88.64% year-over-year increase [16] Earnings Performance - AMD has consistently beaten earnings estimates over the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 2.30%, while SMTC has a higher average surprise of 10.83% [17] - Semtech's stronger earnings surprise history and innovative solutions position it as a more attractive investment compared to AMD [18]
AMD vs. Semtech: Which Semiconductor Stock Is the Better Buy Now?