突破历史高位后 “白银时代”是否到来？

Group 1 - Recent surge in silver futures and spot prices has broken historical resistance levels, with Shanghai silver futures reaching a record of 8855 yuan/kg and spot silver hitting 36.27 USD/oz, the highest since March 2012 [2] - The current rise in silver prices is attributed to multiple factors, including internal demand for precious metals and strong industrial demand, indicating that silver's financial attributes have been previously underestimated [2] - The gold-silver ratio has decreased from a previous high of 100 to around 94, still significantly above the historical average of 60-80, suggesting ongoing valuation recovery potential for silver [2] Group 2 - The industrial aspect of silver is also contributing to price increases, with a tight supply-demand balance expected to lead to a shortage of 117.6 million ounces by 2025, driven by stable growth in demand, particularly from the photovoltaic sector [3] - The European countries' loose fiscal and monetary policies are expected to boost industrial and investment demand, further enhancing silver's price elasticity after breaking last year's high resistance [3] - While the silver market appears promising, it remains uncertain, with future dynamics needing to consider the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and U.S. tariff policies, although the overall upward trend is expected to continue [3]