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国泰海通:人形机器人轴承潜力巨大 国产替代空间广阔
智通财经网·2025-06-08 22:51

Group 1 - The rise of humanoid robots is creating new opportunities for the bearing market, as bearings play a crucial role in key components such as reducers, lead screws, and motors [2][3] - The demand for bearings is expected to increase significantly, with an example of Tesla's humanoid robot Optimus potentially generating over 3 billion yuan in additional bearing demand if production reaches 1 million units [2] - The global bearing market is projected to grow from 121.3 billion USD in 2021 to over 243.03 billion USD by 2030, indicating substantial market potential [3] Group 2 - Domestic companies are making progress in technology research and market share, with the domestic bearing industry achieving a revenue of 218 billion yuan and producing 20.2 billion sets in 2023 [3] - The complexity of bearing processing involves multiple steps, and the grinding machine is a key piece of equipment, with a significant portion of production costs attributed to grinding [4] - The domestic market for high-end grinding machines is still reliant on imports, with a localization rate of less than 50%, indicating a need for breakthroughs in this area [4]