Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the pattern of a "transformation bull market" in the Chinese stock market is becoming increasingly clear, with a strategic outlook favoring 2025 [1] - After adjustments, investors' understanding of the economic situation has become sufficient, reducing the marginal impact of valuation contraction [1] - Stock prices reflect investors' expectations for the future, with the main contradiction in expectation changes shifting from economic cycle fluctuations to a decline in discount rates, particularly the systematic reduction of risk-free rates and risk perception [1] Group 2 - The Chinese policy "three arrows" aimed at resolving debt, boosting demand, and stabilizing asset prices, along with capital market reforms focused on "investor-centric" approaches, are expected to help restore investor confidence in long-term assumptions [1] - The emergence of new technologies and new consumption opportunities is contributing to the revitalization of the investment landscape in China, supporting the transition towards a "transformation bull market" [1]
国泰海通证券:中国股市“转型牛”的格局越来越清晰 战略看多2025年