Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that the U.S. non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, leading to a downward adjustment in the probability of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2 - In terms of data, the U.S. adjusted non-farm employment population for May recorded 139,000, which is the lowest since February and above the market expectation of 130,000 [1] - Regarding interest rate cuts, President Trump criticized the Federal Reserve for its delayed actions, noting that Europe has cut rates 10 times while the U.S. has not [1] - The latest CME "FedWatch" data indicates a 99.9% probability of maintaining interest rates in June, with only a 0.1% chance of a 25 basis point cut, and an 83.4% probability of keeping rates unchanged in July, with a cumulative 16.5% chance of a 25 basis point cut [1]
非农数据强于预期,降息概率再被下调
news flash·2025-06-08 23:52