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短期玉米供应压力仍存 预计上方压力渐显
Jin Tou Wang·2025-06-09 08:45

Core Insights - The average spot price of corn in China on June 9 was reported at 2240.00 CNY/ton, which is 117.00 CNY/ton lower than the futures main contract price of 2357.00 CNY/ton [1] - The futures market saw the main corn contract close at 2357.00 CNY/ton on June 9, with a daily increase of 0.90% and a trading volume of 510,372 contracts [2] Price Overview - Yellow corn (Grade 3, 14% moisture) prices varied across different regions in China, with the highest price at 2440 CNY/ton in Shandong and the lowest at 2100 CNY/ton in Heilongjiang [2] Market Conditions - The USDA crop report indicated that as of June 1, 93% of corn planting in the U.S. was completed, matching the five-year average, with a good crop condition rating of 69% [3] - Drought monitoring reports show that 21% of corn crops are in drought-affected areas, down from 23% the previous week, but significantly higher than the 3% reported last year [4] Analysis Perspective - According to Southwest Futures, domestic corn supply and demand are trending towards balance, with favorable policies and recovering consumption. However, there are still short-term supply pressures due to high port inventory levels and reduced imports in the first four months of the year [5]