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6月9日汇市晚评:日本央行考虑放缓削减购债规模 美元/日元跌至144.00附近
Jin Tou Wang·2025-06-09 09:30

Group 1: Currency Market Overview - The euro attracted some dip-buying, rising to around 1.1450 during the European session [1] - The British pound gained traction above 1.3550 due to a weaker dollar [1] - The Japanese yen maintained slight gains, with USD/JPY dropping to the 144.20 area, marking a new daily low [1] - The Australian dollar slightly recovered from previous losses, while the New Zealand dollar traded around 0.6040, recovering recent declines [1] Group 2: U.S. Economic Indicators - U.S. non-farm payrolls for May slightly exceeded expectations, with previous months' data significantly revised down [2] - The unemployment rate remained stable, and average hourly earnings were better than expected, leading to reduced bets on Fed rate cuts [2][3] Group 3: Central Bank Insights - Federal Reserve officials emphasized the need for patience, indicating that it is not yet time for preemptive measures [3] - The Fed is expected to propose changes to the regulatory ratings for large banks to enhance the supplementary leverage ratio [3] - The European Central Bank's officials expressed differing opinions on interest rate decisions, with the neutral nominal rate estimated at around 3% [6][9] - The Bank of Japan is reportedly considering slowing the pace of its bond purchase reductions [7] Group 4: Technical Analysis - The GBP/USD is trading near the 20-period simple moving average, indicating a retreat of buyers, with resistance levels identified at 1.3590-1.3600 and 1.3700 [14] - The AUD/USD is consolidating between support at 0.6400 and resistance at 0.6500, with the RSI indicating a balance of power between bulls and bears [14] - For USD/JPY, failure to hold the support near 144.25/50 could lead to further declines, with key support at 142.37 [15]