Prediction: This High-Yield Dividend Stock Will Crush the S&P 500's Returns Over the Next Decade

Core Viewpoint - Brookfield Renewable is positioned to outperform the S&P 500 over the next decade, despite its more than 5% dividend yield, due to its strong financial profile and growth potential [2][12]. Financial Profile - Brookfield Renewable supports its high dividend yield with a robust financial profile, selling approximately 90% of its renewable energy under long-term, fixed-rate power purchase agreements (PPAs) with an average remaining term of 14 years [5][8]. - The company’s PPAs index about 70% of its revenue to inflation, ensuring predictable and steadily growing cash flow [5][6]. - Brookfield has a strong investment-grade balance sheet, with $4.5 billion in liquidity at the end of Q1, and it utilizes long-term, fixed-rate debt to fund its operations [7][8]. Growth Potential - Brookfield Renewable can achieve a 4% to 7% annual growth rate in funds from operations (FFO) per share without additional capital investment, which is solid for a high-yielding dividend stock [9]. - The company plans to invest $8 billion to $9 billion into new growth opportunities over the next five years, including a significant backlog of renewable energy projects totaling 74 gigawatts (GW) [9][10]. - Development projects are expected to contribute an additional 4% to 6% to FFO per share annually, with a target commissioning run rate of 10 GW per year by 2027 [10]. Dividend Growth - Brookfield anticipates growing its FFO per share at a rate exceeding 10% annually through 2034, supporting its plan to increase dividends by 5% to 9% each year [12][13]. - The company has maintained a 6% compound annual growth rate in its dividend payouts since 2001, indicating a strong track record of returning value to shareholders [12][13]. Investment Outlook - The combination of a more than 5% yielding dividend and anticipated FFO growth positions Brookfield Renewable to potentially deliver total annual returns in the mid-teens, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 over the next decade [13].