谁在为“药奶”买单？圣桐特医赴港IPO 去年流动负债净额4亿元却分红3.5亿元

Core Viewpoint - Saintong Special Medical (Qingdao) Nutrition Health Technology Co., Ltd. is preparing for an IPO in Hong Kong, backed by the dairy giant Shengyuan Group, and is positioned as a leading player in the special medical food market for infants in China, with a projected revenue CAGR of 30.3% from 2022 to 2024 [1][5]. Group 1: Company Overview - Saintong Special Medical was established in 2019, evolving from Shengyuan Group's special medical division, and has received investments from notable institutions such as Honghui Fund and Hillhouse Capital [5]. - The company holds the most infant special medical food registration certificates in China and aims to leverage this advantage in the market [1][11]. Group 2: Market Position and Financial Performance - In 2024, Saintong is projected to capture 9.5% of the infant special medical food market, ranking third in the industry, while two foreign giants dominate with a combined market share of approximately 75% [3][9]. - Revenue is expected to grow from RMB 491.2 million in 2022 to RMB 834.1 million in 2024, with a gross margin consistently above 71% [4][25]. Group 3: Sales and Distribution Challenges - Despite strong revenue growth, the brand's presence in major retail outlets is limited, with reports indicating that many stores do not carry its products [3][15]. - The company's online sales are significantly lower compared to competitors, with historical sales of only 2,000 units for a key product, compared to over 70,000 units for a rival brand [13][15]. Group 4: Financial Concerns - The company has seen a dramatic increase in inventory turnover days, rising 187% to 155 days over three years, which raises questions about inventory management [19][20]. - Saintong's net current liabilities exceeded RMB 400 million in 2024, yet the company has maintained high dividend payouts, raising concerns about financial sustainability [22][23]. Group 5: Research and Development - R&D expenditures have remained below 2% of revenue, which is significantly lower than industry standards, potentially hindering innovation and competitiveness [32][35]. - The company has launched 14 major special medical food products and has 16 more in development, indicating a commitment to expanding its product line [11][28].