SNEC光伏展前瞻：上下游大整合落地在即，应用扩容支撑产业线性增长

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is currently experiencing a significant transformation characterized by systemic restructuring, with both major changes and market consolidation occurring simultaneously [4][5][8]. Industry Overview - The SNEC International Photovoltaic and Energy Storage Conference in June 2023 saw reduced attendance compared to previous years, reflecting the industry's current challenges [4][8]. - Industry leaders are advocating for a market-driven approach to address overcapacity and inefficiencies, emphasizing the need for mergers, technology elimination, and strict regulatory measures [9][10]. Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic sector is shifting from linear growth patterns to a more unpredictable spiral growth model, driven by market forces rather than policy support [8][11]. - The global photovoltaic installed capacity is projected to exceed 600 GW in 2024, with China's new installations expected to reach 278 GW, solidifying its position as the second-largest power source [10][12]. Future Projections - The photovoltaic industry is expected to maintain a linear growth trajectory over the next five years, driven by global energy transition demands and the need for electricity in underserved populations [11][12]. - By 2030, the total global photovoltaic installed capacity could reach between 5200 GW and 5800 GW, with significant contributions from traditional and emerging markets [12][13]. Policy and Regulatory Environment - The ongoing electricity market reforms are seen as both a challenge and an opportunity for the photovoltaic sector, necessitating innovation and adaptation to new market conditions [13][16]. - Recommendations for enhancing the photovoltaic industry's development include improving regional cooperation, integrating advanced technologies, and promoting international standards and products [16][17].