连亏两年，常山药业为何能逆袭成“创新药第一牛股”?

Core Viewpoint - Changshan Pharmaceutical has seen its stock price surge nearly 200% in two months, leading to its recognition as the "first innovative drug stock" in A-shares for 2025, despite reporting losses for two consecutive years and primarily relying on heparin products [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - The stock price of Changshan Pharmaceutical reached a new high of 52.09 yuan on June 9, with a market capitalization approaching 480 billion yuan, significantly distancing itself from its competitor, Hepalink [2]. - The divergence between the company's poor financial performance and its soaring stock price is notable, with projected net losses of 12.40 billion yuan and 2.49 billion yuan for 2023 and 2024, respectively, while the stock price is expected to increase by 137.41% and 53.65% in the same years [2][3]. Group 2: Product Development and Market Competition - Changshan Pharmaceutical heavily relies on its heparin business, with nearly 87% of its revenue in 2024 coming from various heparin products, which has been negatively impacted by the absence of its main product in national bulk procurement [3]. - The company has been developing a GLP-1 class drug, Aibennate Injection, which is currently in the registration phase, but it faces significant market competition and uncertainty regarding profitability [3][4]. - The Aibennate Injection is a long-acting GLP-1 receptor agonist intended for the treatment of type 2 diabetes, but the company has cautioned investors about the competitive landscape and the uncertain nature of its market entry [3][4]. Group 3: Clinical Data and Future Prospects - As of now, there is limited clinical data available for Aibennate Injection, which has only been reported for the type 2 diabetes indication, raising concerns about its competitive edge in the market [7]. - The market for oral GLP-1 drugs is seen as promising due to the lower adherence rates of current injectable options, suggesting a potential opportunity for companies that can balance safety and efficacy in their products [7].