RH Gears Up to Post Q1 Earnings: Buy or Hold Ahead of Results?

Core Viewpoint - RH is set to report its first-quarter fiscal 2025 results on June 12, with expectations of revenue growth despite challenges in the luxury home furnishings sector [1][7]. Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, RH's earnings and revenues missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 17.3% and 1.8%, respectively, but showed year-over-year increases of 10% and 119.4% [1]. - The adjusted operating margin for the last quarter was 11.3%, reflecting a 220 basis point increase [1]. - The consensus estimate for the upcoming quarter indicates a loss per share of 9 cents, widening from 6 cents, compared to a loss of 40 cents per share in the same quarter last year [4]. Revenue Expectations - The revenue estimate for the upcoming quarter is $818.9 million, representing a 12.6% increase from the previous year [4]. - RH anticipates revenue growth of 12.5-13.5% for the fiscal first quarter, driven by product rollouts and international expansion [9]. Margin Outlook - The company expects an adjusted operating margin between 6.5% and 7% and an adjusted EBITDA margin between 12.5% and 13% for the upcoming quarter [10]. - The anticipated figures indicate slight margin improvement, although start-up costs for international expansion are expected to negatively impact the operating margin by 160-200 basis points [10]. Market Conditions - RH's stock has declined by 18.2% over the past month, influenced by weak sales in the home furnishings sector and uncertainties in the housing market [11]. - The broader industry has also shown weakness, with other players like Lovesac, Williams-Sonoma, and Haverty Furniture experiencing declines [13]. Valuation - RH is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.02X, which is a discount compared to peers like Lovesac and Williams-Sonoma, trading at 19.31X and 18.03X, respectively [14]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on product transformation plans for 2025, including the RH Outdoor and Interiors Sourcebooks, alongside international expansion efforts [9]. - Despite facing challenges, RH remains confident in sustaining revenue growth through ongoing strategic initiatives [8].