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申万宏源:服务业支持政策有望加码 A股市场中枢或迎抬升

Group 1: Economic Outlook - The rise of technology is stabilizing and strengthening the capital market, significantly impacting financial investments [1][2] - Service sector investment and consumption have shown positive improvement in the first half of the year, with further policy support expected in the second half [1][2] - The macroeconomic indicators are anticipated to undergo a "strong-weak conversion" in the second half of 2025, with service sector recovery potentially offsetting manufacturing pressures [2][3] Group 2: Policy and Structural Changes - Since September 2024, a comprehensive optimization of the policy framework has been initiated, enhancing the targeting of structural policies [2] - The new phase of supply-side reform is emerging, focusing on high-quality development and sustainable long-term growth [2] - The emphasis is shifting from "investment-driven" to "people-oriented" approaches in policy implementation [2] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - A-share market is expected to see an upward adjustment in return levels, supported by improved fundamentals and increased allocation of equity assets by residents [4] - Key investment themes include AI and embodied intelligence, which are poised to become core industry trends [4] - High-quality investment opportunities are identified in sectors such as software and information services, hardware technology, and AI-related fields [4]