History Says Buy Jabil Stock Ahead Of Earnings

Group 1 - Jabil Inc. is expected to announce Q3 FY'25 results on June 17, 2025, with earnings projected at approximately $2.30 per share, a 20% increase year-over-year, and revenues around $7 billion, reflecting a 4% year-over-year growth [2] - The company is benefiting from strong performance in capital equipment, cloud and data center infrastructure, and digital commerce end-markets, with AI-related revenue projected to reach $7.5 billion for FY 2025, representing a 40% increase [2] - Jabil currently holds a market capitalization of $20 billion, with recorded revenue of $27 billion over the past twelve months, yielding an operating profit of $1.3 billion and net income of $484 million [2] Group 2 - Historical data indicates that Jabil has had 20 earnings data points over the past five years, with 14 positive one-day returns, resulting in a 70% positive return rate, which drops to 58% when considering the last three years [4] - The median of the 14 positive returns is 5.7%, while the median of the 6 negative returns is -8.0% [4] - There is a strategy to assess the correlation between short-term and medium-term post-earnings returns, which can guide trading decisions based on favorable one-day returns [3]