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最高负荷预计增长1亿千瓦!今年迎峰度夏保供电方式有变
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-06-11 13:25

Group 1: Electricity Supply and Demand - The overall electricity supply in China is expected to be secure during the peak summer period, although some regions may experience tight supply during peak hours [1] - National electricity consumption has continued to grow, with a cumulative total of 3.16 trillion kilowatt-hours in the first four months of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [1] - The highest electricity load is projected to increase by approximately 10 million kilowatts compared to last year, indicating pressure on electricity supply [1] Group 2: Coal Market Dynamics - Coal prices have been declining, with the average prices for high calorific value coal types at 616 yuan/ton, 535 yuan/ton, and 468 yuan/ton, reflecting a decrease of about 100 yuan/ton compared to the beginning of the year [2][3] - The current coal prices are significantly lower than the peak prices seen in recent years, which were often over 1,000 yuan/ton [2] - Coal inventory at coal-fired power plants has increased to over 120 million tons, up by 1.12 million tons year-on-year, with an average usable days of 30.5 days, an increase of 1.6 days compared to last year [3] Group 3: Load Management Strategies - There is a heightened focus on precise management and effective guidance of electricity demand this year, contrasting with previous years that emphasized supply-side responsibilities [5] - Various regions are implementing strategies to manage electricity load, including the use of virtual power plants to optimize demand response and ensure stable supply [6][7] - The establishment of a million-kilowatt-level residential virtual power plant in Jiangsu aims to integrate large-capacity smart appliances into a cloud-based energy pool, facilitating flexible energy management [7] Group 4: Future Outlook and Policy Support - The National Energy Administration has initiated pilot projects for new power systems, encouraging the development of virtual power plants among other innovative solutions [8] - The China Electricity Council predicts that the highest electricity load this summer could increase by about 10 million kilowatts compared to 2024, with potential peaks reaching 1.57 billion kilowatts if temperatures rise significantly [8]