Is Consumer Discretionary a Dead End? These 3 Stocks Say No

Consumer Discretionary Sector Overview - The consumer discretionary sector typically thrives during strong economic conditions, characterized by low interest rates and robust job growth [1] - Recent employment data indicates a decline in job additions, with only 139,000 jobs added in May 2025 compared to 272,000 in May 2024, suggesting potential challenges for the sector [2] - The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) is down over 2% year-to-date, contrasting with a 3% increase in the broader S&P 500 [3] Greif Inc. Performance - Greif Inc. has a 12-month stock price forecast of $74.17, indicating a 14.15% upside potential based on 7 analyst ratings, with a current price of $64.97 [3] - The company has a strong dividend yield of 3.36% and a payout ratio of 60.85%, reflecting its stability over nearly 140 years in business [4] - Greif's earnings per share (EPS) of $1.19 exceeded analyst expectations by 11 cents, with quarterly revenue showing a year-over-year increase of just over 1% [5] - The company is targeting $25 million in savings for the current fiscal year and $100 million by the end of fiscal 2027 through cost optimization efforts [6] - Greif's operational structure mitigates tariff impacts by selling products close to manufacturing locations, enhancing its competitive position [7] O-I Glass Inc. Performance - O-I Glass has a 12-month stock price forecast of $15.88, representing a 16.56% upside based on 8 analyst ratings, with a current price of $13.62 [9] - The company benefits from increasing demand for glass containers as consumers shift away from plastics, positioning it well for future growth [9] - O-I's Fit to Win program has successfully improved operational efficiency, contributing $61 million in benefits and leading to an adjusted EPS of 40 cents, surpassing analyst predictions by 22 cents [10] - Future projections indicate adjusted earnings for 2025 could surge up to 85% above 2024 levels, with strong analyst support reflected in six Buy ratings [11] Silgan Holdings Inc. Performance - Silgan Holdings has a 12-month stock price forecast of $63.11, indicating a 15.42% upside based on 9 analyst ratings, with a current price of $54.68 [12] - The company reported an 11% year-over-year revenue increase, with EPS of 82 cents exceeding expectations by 4 cents [13] - Despite strong performance, recent executive turnover introduces uncertainty, particularly in the U.S. metal containers business [14] - Analysts remain optimistic, with all nine ratings for Silgan shares classified as Buy [15]