机构称泰国5月通胀率为负值缘于食品及能源产品价格下降

Core Viewpoint - Thailand's inflation rate turned negative in May 2025, primarily due to a decline in food and energy prices [1] Group 1: Inflation Data - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Thailand in May 2025 was 100.40, down from 100.98 in May 2024, resulting in an inflation rate of -0.57% [1] - The main contributors to the negative inflation rate were falling prices of fresh food and energy products, including electricity, ethanol fuel, and gasoline, which decreased in line with global energy price trends [1] Group 2: Future Projections - The Kasikorn Research Center anticipates that Thailand's inflation rate may return to positive territory in June 2025 due to a low base effect from last year's vegetable and fruit price declines [1] - The average inflation rate for the second quarter of 2025 is projected to be -0.2%, indicating that the country has not entered a deflationary state, as prices for goods and services have not broadly decreased [1] Group 3: Economic Outlook - It is expected that Thailand's inflation rate will recover to a low positive value in the second half of 2025, influenced by domestic fuel prices aligning with international crude oil price trends, reduced electricity prices due to government measures, and increased agricultural production leading to lower prices for fresh produce [1] - The Kasikorn Research Center predicts a slowdown in Thailand's economic growth in the latter half of the year, which will further reduce inflationary pressures [1]