美方撤离信号引爆油市！中东局势升级助推油价单日飙涨5%，布油剑指70美元关口

Group 1 - International oil prices continue to rise, with WTI crude reaching $69.29 per barrel after a 4.9% increase, marking the largest single-day gain since October of the previous year [1] - The rise in oil prices is attributed to escalating security risks in the Middle East, prompting the U.S. to order partial evacuation of personnel from its embassy in Baghdad [1] - Market speculation about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East has intensified following threats from Iran to attack U.S. military bases if nuclear negotiations fail [1] Group 2 - The current surge in oil prices breaks the narrow trading range observed over the past month, highlighting the market's sensitivity to geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, which accounts for one-third of global crude oil production [3] - Despite the recent price increase, oil prices are down approximately 4% year-to-date due to concerns over trade wars affecting demand and the potential return of Iranian oil to the market [3] - The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports indicate significant uncertainty in the oil market, forecasting a supply surplus of 800,000 barrels per day, the largest since 2025 predictions began, while also noting that U.S. crude production is unlikely to exceed last December's levels [3]