兴业证券商贸行业25年中期策略：内需看业务创新 外需看非美贸易

Group 1: External Market Dynamics - The importance of non-US export channels has significantly increased due to the substantial reduction in US tariffs, providing a favorable environment for related companies [1] - The external environment is expected to improve, with the internal demand becoming a key driver for economic growth, supported by ongoing policy implementations [1] Group 2: Retail Sector Innovations - The retail sector, particularly supermarkets, is undergoing significant adjustments to cope with intensified competition and the impact of e-commerce, leading to notable improvements in operational metrics [3] - Major retail companies are actively transforming their business models through store upgrades, supply chain enhancements, and personnel restructuring [3] Group 3: Baby and Maternity Retail Market - The baby and maternity retail market is experiencing a contraction, but there are opportunities for growth through mergers and acquisitions among leading companies [2] - The government's long-term strategy to promote childbirth is expected to provide support to leading companies in the sector [2] Group 4: Recommendations for Investment - Companies involved in non-US market exports, supermarkets with adjustment expectations, and baby retail companies actively developing new business lines are recommended for investment [1][2][3]