CSC(601066) Zheng Quan Zhi Xing·2025-06-12 11:22Core Viewpoint - The inquiry letter from the Shanghai Stock Exchange regarding the major asset sale and related party transactions of Wolong New Energy Group highlights the importance of thorough disclosure and valuation analysis for the transaction, particularly focusing on the operational performance and financial metrics of Shanghai Mining [1][2]. Group 1: Business Model and Operations - Shanghai Mining's primary profit model involves sourcing various grades of raw ore and processing them to meet the specifications required by large smelting plants, addressing supply capacity issues from small mines and traders [2][3]. - The company engages in both imported and domestic procurement of copper concentrate, with a structured payment process that includes credit letters and installment payments based on final quantity and quality confirmations [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first five months of 2025, Shanghai Mining reported revenues of 131,684.21 million yuan, with a net profit of 1,155.21 million yuan and a gross margin of 2.75% [5]. - The company’s gross margins over the past three years were 2.89%, 1.55%, and 4.60%, with net profits of 19.19 million yuan, 22.85 million yuan, and 55.18 million yuan respectively, indicating a trend of increasing profitability [6][8]. Group 3: Market Trends and Industry Analysis - The copper concentrate trade industry is characterized by a significant concentration of production in countries like Chile, Peru, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, while refined copper production is predominantly in China [8][9]. - The international copper price and processing fees (TC/RC) are the main market factors influencing copper concentrate trading prices, with recent trends showing volatility due to geopolitical events and economic conditions [9][10]. Group 4: Future Projections - Future revenue projections for Shanghai Mining indicate a steady increase, with expected revenues of 273,000 million yuan in 2025, growing to 325,000 million yuan by 2029, alongside a gradual decline in gross margin to 1.96% by 2029 [18][24]. - The company anticipates a recovery in sales volume to pre-2024 levels, supported by established relationships with global suppliers and a favorable market environment for copper concentrate [16][19].