贝恩：2025年“消费平替”趋势延续

Core Insights - The report by Bain & Company and Worldpanel indicates a slowdown in the overall sales growth of China's fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) market due to the ongoing "consumption substitution" trend [1] - In 2024, the FMCG market is projected to achieve a modest sales growth of 0.8%, with a volume increase of 4.4% but an average price decline of 3.4% [1] - The first quarter of 2025 shows a year-on-year sales growth of 2.7%, driven by improvements in macroeconomic indicators and strong consumption during the Spring Festival [1] Market Trends - The FMCG market in China is experiencing a significant "consumption substitution" trend, with the average price decline being the largest in the past four years [1] - Consumption growth in third- and fourth-tier cities is outpacing that of first- and second-tier cities, indicating a shift in consumer spending patterns [1] - The largest factor affecting household spending is product choice, with consumers actively seeking more affordable alternatives across categories such as packaged food, beverages, household care, and personal care [1] Strategic Considerations - Brands face strategic decisions regarding whether to focus on the high-end market, compete in the mass market, or adopt a dual approach [2] - The high-end market is experiencing a decline compared to the overall market, presenting challenges for brands [2]