就业和通胀数据提高美联储9月降息几率

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that U.S. inflation is moving towards the Federal Reserve's 2% target, while labor data suggests a potential rise in unemployment rates [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased slightly by 0.1% in May, and the number of unemployment claims remains high at 248,000 [1] - These factors have heightened expectations for a possible interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in early fall, with a 61% probability for a rate cut in September, up from 58% the previous day [1] Group 2 - It is anticipated that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meetings in the next week and July [1] - The likelihood of two or more rate cuts by December has risen to 78%, compared to 70% the day before [1] - The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, sensitive to Federal Reserve movements, has decreased to 3.891% due to the impact of this data [1]