Comfort Systems Stock Rises 52% in 3 Months: Still a Buy?

Core Insights - Comfort Systems USA (FIX) has achieved a remarkable 51.8% stock gain over the past three months, significantly outperforming the broader market and its peers in the Zacks Building Products - Air Conditioner and Heating industry, which rose only 14.8% during the same period [1][7] - The company's strong performance is driven by increasing demand in data centers, industrial projects, and modular construction, capitalizing on long-term structural trends [1][11] Stock Performance - FIX stock closed at $496.70, which is 10.2% below its 52-week high of $553.09 and 82% above its 52-week low of $272.93 [4] - The stock is trading above both 50 and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend and positive market sentiment [5] Revenue Drivers - AI infrastructure, modular builds, and onshoring projects are now driving a growing share of FIX's revenue, with AI-related projects contributing 37% of total revenue, up from 30% last year [7][11] - Modular construction accounts for 19% of first-quarter 2025 revenue, enhancing scale and margins through faster installations and improved labor efficiency [13][15] - Industrial projects made up 62% of first-quarter volume, supported by renewed manufacturing activity and federal clean energy incentives [16] Financial Metrics - FIX's forward 12-month P/E ratio is 25.83, below the industry average of 28.43, indicating reasonable valuation after the recent rally [8] - The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) stands at 27.09%, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.93%, reflecting efficient growth [9] Strategic Growth Initiatives - M&A activities are a key growth strategy, with the recent acquisition of Century Contractors expected to add $90 million in revenue [19] - The company has over $130 million in net cash, providing financial flexibility for future acquisitions [19] Market Outlook - Analysts have revised earnings estimates upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for FIX's 2025 earnings per share increasing to $19.28 from $19.07 [22] - Projections indicate a 32.1% increase in earnings for 2025, with revenue expected to grow by 9.9% [23]