Cisco Expands AI Portfolio for Data Centers: Why the Stock is a Hold

Core Insights - Cisco Systems (CSCO) is expanding its AI portfolio for data centers with new solutions, including the Unified Nexus Dashboard and Cisco Intelligent Packet Flow, while leveraging its collaboration with NVIDIA to enhance its AI infrastructure capabilities [1][9][10] - Cisco has secured over $1 billion in AI infrastructure orders for fiscal 2025, indicating strong demand and growth potential [1][8] - The company's security revenues surged by 54% year-over-year in Q3, reflecting robust demand for its security solutions [3][12] AI Portfolio Expansion - The Unified Nexus Dashboard will consolidate services across various networks into a single interface, set to be released in July 2025 [2] - Cisco Intelligent Packet Flow utilizes real-time telemetry for proactive issue detection, available from June 10 [2] - New 400G BiDi optics are expected to launch in the second half of 2025, further enhancing Cisco's data center offerings [2] Financial Performance - Total product orders increased by 20% year-over-year, with networking product orders growing by double digits [3] - Cisco's guidance for fiscal 2025 anticipates revenues between $56.5 billion and $56.7 billion, an increase from previous estimates [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues is $56.59 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.18% [14] Stock Performance - Cisco shares have appreciated by 8.4% year-to-date, although this is below the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's return of 14.3% [4] - The stock is currently trading at a premium, with a forward price/sales ratio of 4.32, higher than the industry average [15] Strategic Collaborations - The partnership with NVIDIA aims to create AI-ready data center networks, enhancing Cisco's security and infrastructure capabilities [9][10] - Cisco's integration of its solutions with NVIDIA's technology is expected to simplify and secure AI infrastructure deployment [9][10] Security Business Growth - Cisco's security business is experiencing significant growth, with strong demand for solutions like Secure Access and Hypershield [12] - The introduction of Agentic AI across security and collaboration platforms is a key strategy for improving customer experience [11]