Buy, Sell, Or Hold Boeing Stock At $200?

Core Viewpoint - Boeing's stock is currently viewed as unattractive due to poor operational performance and financial health, despite a seemingly reasonable valuation of approximately $205 [3][13]. Financial Performance - Boeing's revenues have declined by 9.2% from $76 billion to $69 billion in the past 12 months, contrasting with a 5.5% growth for the S&P 500 [11] - The company's operating income over the last four quarters was -$10 billion, resulting in an operating margin of -14.7%, compared to 13.2% for the S&P 500 [11] - Boeing's net income for the last four quarters was -$12 billion, leading to a net income margin of -16.6%, while the S&P 500 had a margin of 11.6% [11] Valuation Metrics - Boeing has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2.3, which is lower than the S&P 500's ratio of 3.0 [5]. - The stock has fallen 57.0% from a high of $269.19 on March 12, 2021, to $115.86 on June 13, 2022, compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500 [12]. Growth and Profitability - Boeing's top line has increased at an average rate of 4.9% over the last three years, compared to a 5.5% rise for the S&P 500 [11]. - Boeing's profit margins are significantly lower than most companies in the Trefis coverage universe, indicating extremely weak profitability [7][15]. Financial Stability - Boeing's total debt was $54 billion at the end of the most recent quarter, with a market capitalization of $154 billion, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of 32.9% compared to 19.9% for the S&P 500 [11]. - Cash and cash equivalents account for $24 billion of Boeing's total assets of $156 billion, leading to a moderate cash-to-assets ratio of 15.1% [11]. Downturn Resilience - Boeing's stock has performed significantly worse than the S&P 500 during recent downturns, indicating extremely weak resilience [9][15]. - The stock has not yet recovered to its pre-crisis peak, highlighting ongoing challenges [12].