Group 1 - International oil prices have surged due to escalating geopolitical tensions, with WTI crude futures reaching $77.62 per barrel and Brent crude futures hitting $78.50 per barrel on June 13 [1] - Domestic crude oil futures closed at 532.5 yuan per barrel, marking a 7.9% increase, the largest single-day rise since October 8, 2024 [1] - The recovery in oil prices is supported by macroeconomic positive news, geopolitical drivers, and expectations of a strong seasonal demand in the oil market [1] Group 2 - The U.S. has entered its consumption peak season, driven by increased demand for gasoline and diesel due to automotive travel, with crude oil inventories declining faster than expected [1] - OPEC+ is expected to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July and August, indicating ongoing supply surplus pressure in the medium term [2] - The market anticipates a slowdown in demand growth in the second half of the year, leading to potential inventory accumulation and risks of downward price adjustments in the fourth quarter [2]
地缘扰动下国际油价大涨 长期仍存过剩预期
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-06-13 13:39