CBOE Outperforms Industry, Trades at a Discount: How to Play the Stock

Core Insights - Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) shares have increased by 35.1% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 27.9%, the Finance sector's return of 20.7%, and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's appreciation of 11.2% [1] - CBOE has outperformed peers such as Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE), S&P Global Inc. (SPGI), and OTC Markets Group Inc. (OTCM), with respective share gains of 32%, 16.4%, and 2.8% in the past year [1] Company Performance - CBOE has a market capitalization of $23.69 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.9 million shares over the last three months [4] - The company has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average beat of 1.95% [4] - CBOE shares are currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 23.19X, which is lower than the industry average of 25.89X, indicating that the shares are undervalued [5] Technical Analysis - CBOE shares closed at $226.30, trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $221.41 and $210.75, respectively, suggesting strong upward momentum [6] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CBOE's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 10.3%, with revenues projected at $2.25 billion, reflecting an 8.4% year-over-year improvement [10] - Long-term earnings growth is expected to be 10.5%, surpassing the industry average of 10.1% [11] - CBOE's organic net revenue growth for Data Vantage is anticipated to be in the mid to high single-digit range in 2025 [9][16] Analyst Sentiment - Recent analyst activity shows one analyst has raised estimates for 2025 and another for 2026, resulting in a 0.5% and 0.2% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for those years, respectively [12] Valuation and Capital Management - The average price target from 15 analysts for CBOE is $225.00 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 0.9% from the last closing price [13] - CBOE has a strong capital management strategy, with $644.5 million remaining under its current share repurchase authorization and a history of increasing dividends for 13 consecutive years [20]