Group 1: Oil Market Insights - On June 13, international crude oil prices surged significantly, with WTI crude futures rising over 14% to a peak of $77.62 per barrel, the highest since January 21 of this year [1][2] - Domestic crude oil futures also saw a spike, reaching a limit-up price of 535.2 yuan per barrel, marking a new high since April 7, before closing at 529.9 yuan per barrel, up 7.9% [2] - Analysts attribute the surge in oil prices to escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East, a weaker dollar due to lower-than-expected U.S. CPI data, and strong fundamentals in the oil market [2][4] Group 2: Gold Market Developments - International gold prices also rose sharply, with London spot gold exceeding $3440 per ounce, reaching a high of $3444.49 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures hitting $3467 per ounce, both marking new highs since April 22 [1][3] - The increase in gold prices is driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and a decline in U.S. economic data, which has raised expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut [3][5] - Domestic gold futures also experienced significant gains, with the main contract closing at 794.36 yuan per gram, up 1.72%, and peaking at 801.14 yuan per gram, the first time surpassing 800 yuan per gram since May 9 [3] Group 3: Future Price Projections - Analysts suggest that while short-term volatility in oil prices is expected due to market speculation, gold may exhibit stronger long-term performance due to its monetary and safe-haven attributes [4][5] - The potential for gold prices to reach between $3000 and $3200 per ounce for long positions, with a possibility of surpassing $3500 per ounce if geopolitical conflicts persist, is highlighted [5] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and the shift in monetary policy are likely to support gold prices, with projections indicating a potential rise to $3800 per ounce in the future [5]
地缘冲突扰动再起黄金石油标的携手大涨
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2025-06-13 21:23