洛杉矶44名移民被捕为何点燃全美怒火？特朗普移民政策或致近100万本土工人失业，美国GDP恐缩水1.7万亿美元

Core Viewpoint - The protests in Los Angeles are a precursor to a nationwide movement, triggered by the arrests of 44 undocumented immigrants by ICE, reflecting deeper structural conflicts between the "Rust Belt" and "Sun Belt" regions of the U.S. [1][3] Group 1: Economic Impact of Immigration Policy - The U.S. economy could face a GDP loss of 4.2% to 6.8% (approximately $1.1 trillion to $1.7 trillion) if 1 million undocumented immigrants are deported annually until they are eliminated [1][10] - The construction industry could lose up to 1.5 million workers, agriculture could lose 225,000 workers, and the hotel industry could lose 1 million workers due to mass deportations [6][7] - A report indicates that deporting 500,000 undocumented immigrants could lead to approximately 44,000 native workers losing their jobs, and deporting all 11 million could result in 968,000 native job losses [7] Group 2: Tax Revenue and Government Costs - Undocumented immigrants contributed approximately $967 billion in taxes in 2022, with over one-third being payroll taxes that fund social security and Medicare [11] - The annual cost of deporting 1 million undocumented immigrants is estimated to be around $88 billion, which is significantly higher than the budgets of major government agencies [11] - The Social Security fund could lose about $23 billion annually, and the Medicare fund could lose around $6 billion if undocumented immigrants are fully deported [11] Group 3: Consumer Impact and Inflation - The removal of undocumented immigrants could lead to increased living costs for ordinary Americans, potentially causing inflation [8] - Research suggests that deporting 1.3 million immigrants could raise prices by 1.5%, while deporting 8.3 million could lead to a price increase of up to 9.1% by 2028 [8]