下周一正式揭晓！先行指标透露这些信号→

Economic Overview - In 2023, China's economic indicators are operating within a reasonable range despite external shocks and internal challenges, supported by proactive macro policies [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics will release May's macroeconomic data on June 16, indicating stable economic growth with manufacturing playing a crucial role [1] Manufacturing Sector - In May, manufacturing sales accounted for 30.1% of total sales by enterprises, with equipment manufacturing sales increasing by 7.5% year-on-year [1] - Specific sectors such as railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and computer communication equipment saw sales growth of 15.1%, 13.1%, and 8.6% respectively [1] High-Tech Industry - The high-tech industry experienced a year-on-year sales increase of 15% in May, continuing its rapid growth trend [1] - The core digital economy sector's sales rose by 11.2%, with digital technology procurement increasing by 10.9% [1] - Sales of industrial robots and special operation robots grew by 13.2% and 28.3% year-on-year, respectively [1] Private Sector Performance - Policies supporting the private economy have led to improved performance, with private enterprise sales growth outpacing the national average by 0.9 percentage points, reaching 72.3% of total sales [2] - Private manufacturing and high-tech enterprises also showed sales growth rates higher than their national counterparts by 1.3 and 0.7 percentage points, respectively [2] Economic Sentiment and Forecasts - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May was reported at 49.5%, indicating a slight improvement from the previous month [2] - Research institutions predict an overall improvement in domestic economic sentiment due to positive signals from US-China trade negotiations [2][3] - The economic recovery is expected to continue, with fixed asset investment growth remaining stable, particularly in manufacturing and broad infrastructure [3][4] Challenges and Outlook - Despite improvements, the real estate sector continues to decline, and uncertainties remain regarding future trade negotiations [4] - The overall economic growth is projected to maintain around 5% for the second quarter, but further policy measures may be necessary to achieve annual development goals [4]