5月居民信贷冷暖交织，政策仍需持续发力

Group 1 - The overall credit situation in the residential sector remains weak, with a notable divergence in short-term and medium-to-long-term loans [2][14] - In May, short-term loans decreased by 20.8 billion yuan, while medium-to-long-term loans increased by 74.6 billion yuan, indicating a contrasting performance [4][8] - Factors such as insufficient consumer momentum, rising interest rates on consumer loans, and diminishing policy effects have contributed to the low demand for short-term loans [2][4] Group 2 - The increase in medium-to-long-term loans is primarily supported by active real estate transactions in first- and second-tier cities, alongside relaxed housing policies [8][9] - Despite the positive growth in medium-to-long-term loans, the actual significance of this growth should be cautiously evaluated due to the low base from the previous year [10][11] - The overall residential sector's new loans from January to May were less than 600 billion yuan, accounting for only 5.4% of total credit, marking the lowest level since 2009 [14] Group 3 - Experts remain optimistic about future credit demand, anticipating that various consumption promotion policies and upcoming shopping events will boost consumer confidence and credit demand [6][18] - The recent adjustments in housing policies, including the cancellation of purchase restrictions, are expected to positively influence residents' willingness to take out medium-to-long-term loans [9][12] - The overall economic environment remains challenging, with ongoing pressures on domestic demand and the need for coordinated monetary and fiscal policies to stimulate credit growth [17][19]