欧央行蛰伏待变欧元看涨趋势仍坚定

Group 1: Euro to USD Exchange Rate - The Euro to USD exchange rate fluctuated, currently at 1.1525, with a decline of 0.17% [1] - The Euro reached a peak of 1.1631 in the second week of June, but fell approximately 100 points to close around 1.1540 [1] - Market sentiment is influenced by trade wars and geopolitical headlines, with US-China trade negotiations being a focal point [1] Group 2: European Central Bank (ECB) Policy Update - The ECB decided to lower three key interest rates by 25 basis points, marking the eighth rate cut since June 2024 [2] - ECB President Christine Lagarde indicated that the current monetary policy cycle may be nearing its end, suggesting a shift in strategy [2] - Following the rate cut, the deposit facility rate, main refinancing rate, and marginal lending rate are now at 2.00%, 2.15%, and 2.40% respectively [2] Group 3: Euro to USD Technical Analysis - Long-term technical indicators suggest that despite recent pullbacks, the Euro to USD pair is expected to rise [3] - The pair is trading above all bullish moving averages, with the 20 SMA providing support around 1.1380 [3] - Immediate support is at 1.1470, with potential testing of the 1.1300 level before any rebound, while resistance is noted at the 1.1630 area [3]