news flash·2025-06-16 06:22Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Hong Kong developers may have passed the worst refinancing risks, with total maturing loans decreasing by approximately 20% year-on-year to HKD 201 billion as of December last year [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The significant reduction in Hong Kong interbank offered rates is expected to boost residential transactions [1] - High-leverage developers still hold 9,100 unsold units, indicating ongoing pricing issues [1] Group 2: Price Forecast - The firm estimates that Hong Kong residential prices will remain stable this year, with a potential recovery of 0% to 5% next year driven by interest rate cuts, rental growth recovery, and a decrease in new launches [1] Group 3: Stock Recommendations - The firm remains optimistic about Hong Kong developers, favoring Henderson Land and Sun Hung Kai Properties, raising target prices by 12% and 2% to HKD 29 and HKD 96, respectively [1] - The target price for Sino Land has been lowered from HKD 10.5 to HKD 9.8 [1]