秦曾昌：与互联网类比 目前人工智能发展大致处于“拨号上网”阶段

Core Insights - The current stage of artificial intelligence (AI) development is compared to the "dial-up internet" phase, indicating that while AI has potential, it still faces numerous technical challenges before becoming a true productivity tool [4]. - From an application perspective, AI is likened to the "Web 1.0" era, where content is available but users are primarily passive consumers, suggesting that a shift towards more interactive and productive use of AI is necessary for its growth [4]. - The principle of creating value from scarce resources remains constant, with AI's role in generating value through "intelligent agents" that can achieve economies of scale due to their zero marginal cost characteristics [5]. Industry Analysis - The discussion at the "Digital Economy Think Tank" highlighted the need for breakthroughs in AI technology to transition from its current state to a more productive phase [4]. - The economic impact of AI is still not uniformly quantified, similar to the early days of the internet, indicating a need for standardized metrics to assess its value [4]. - The future of AI is expected to lead to a new phase of platform economy, where intelligent agents will enhance consumer experiences by enabling better price comparisons and reducing the prevalence of issues like "big data exploitation" [5].