Coach Bags A 32% Upside, But Kate Spade Lags Behind In Tapestry's Playbook

Core Insights - Tapestry Inc is experiencing a growth split between its key brands, with Coach showing significant recovery and projected 32% upside for the overall company stock by year-end, while Kate Spade is underperforming [1][6] Group 1: Coach's Performance - Coach is the primary driver of Tapestry's growth, benefiting from a balanced multi-year revenue increase due to average unit retail price hikes and sustainable unit sales growth [2] - Handbag prices for Coach are increasing, supported by improved full-price selling and innovative product lines, reversing previous declines in unit sales [3] - The brand is attracting younger customers, particularly Gen-Z and Millennials, who are spending more and frequently returning, which also encourages older customers to re-engage [4] Group 2: Kate Spade's Challenges - Kate Spade has faced revenue declines this year, with management adopting a cautious approach due to uncertain macroeconomic conditions, and its fourth quarter guidance indicates a sales drop [5] - The brand is currently in a supporting role within Tapestry's portfolio, contrasting with Coach's expected low-double-digit growth [5] Group 3: Overall Outlook for Tapestry - Tapestry's potential upside is largely contingent on Coach's revival, driven by pricing power, customer rejuvenation, and category expansion, with a price target of $104 for investors to monitor [6]