Neinor launches €1,070mn Tender Offer for AEDAS, redefining the residential real estate landscape

Core Viewpoint - Neinor Homes has announced a €1,070 million tender offer to acquire 100% of AEDAS Homes, aiming to consolidate its leadership in the European housing market [1][2]. Financial Structure - The acquisition values AEDAS at €24.485 per share, with an adjusted price of €21.335 per share after accounting for €136 million in dividends [2]. - The transaction is supported by approximately €1.25 billion in committed capital, including €500 million in equity and €750 million through senior secured notes [3]. - Neinor has entered into a standby volume underwriting agreement with Banco Santander and J.P. Morgan for up to €175 million [4]. Strategic Implications - The acquisition provides Neinor with a portfolio of approximately 20,200 units at a 30% NAV discount, primarily located in Madrid [6][9]. - AEDAS' portfolio includes 13,809 units under production and 9,049 units either under construction or completed, with €1.7 billion in future revenues from pre-sold units [7]. - The transaction is expected to generate €150 million in earnings uplift over 2025-2027, representing a 40% increase compared to the strategic plan target [8]. Growth and Profitability - Neinor is revising its net income target for 2023-2027 to approximately €510 million, a 40% increase from the original target [13]. - The company anticipates earnings per share to rise to approximately €5.9, a 25% increase from previous estimates [13]. - The acquisition is projected to add €900 million in free cash flow from 2025 to 2030, allowing for increased shareholder remuneration [8]. Market Positioning - This acquisition positions Neinor as the largest and most diversified residential developer in Spain, enhancing its capacity to build and develop approximately 43,200 units [14][16]. - The transaction reinforces Neinor's commitment to the Spanish housing market, ensuring that AEDAS' platform remains under the control of a Spanish listed company [15]. - The combined entity aims to address the fragmented housing supply in Spain, leveraging operational excellence and local expertise [17][20].