5月经济动能积聚韧性彰显 消费增速超市场预期

Economic Growth - In May, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.8% year-on-year, maintaining a rapid growth rate [1] - The service production index grew by 6.2% year-on-year, with an acceleration of 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods (referred to as "social retail total") increased by 6.4% year-on-year, with a growth acceleration of 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Consumer Spending - The social retail total's year-on-year growth rate in May was significantly higher than the market consensus forecast [1] - The chief economist of China Minmetals Bank noted that the growth rate of social retail total reached the highest level since early 2024, with a seasonally adjusted month-on-month increase of 0.93%, the highest for the same period in nearly five years [1] - Cumulative growth for service retail from January to May was 5.2%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to January to April [1] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment growth has slowed, but there are expectations for a rebound in infrastructure investment as funding becomes available [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission aims to finalize the project list for this year's "two heavy" construction and central budget investment by the end of June [2] Industrial Development - The high-end, intelligent, and green development of industries is progressing steadily [2] - In May, the added value of the automotive manufacturing industry and computer communication and other electronic equipment manufacturing increased by 11.6% and 10.2% year-on-year, respectively [2] - Production of high-tech products such as 3D printing equipment and integrated circuits grew by 40% and 11.5%, respectively [2] Employment and Prices - The urban surveyed unemployment rate in May was 5%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, with youth unemployment rate declining for three consecutive months [3] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) saw a slight year-on-year decline, with the core CPI, excluding food and energy, showing an expanded increase compared to the previous month [3]