Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang·2025-06-17 01:13Core Viewpoint - The acetic acid ethyl ester (EA) industry in China is experiencing a significant recovery in production capacity and output in 2024, driven by new installations and increasing export demand, despite previous challenges related to overcapacity and environmental regulations [1][4][10]. Industry Overview - Acetic acid ethyl ester is a widely used fine chemical product and an important organic solvent, primarily consumed in the coatings, pharmaceuticals, and adhesives sectors, which together account for over 80% of its downstream consumption [2][4]. - The industry has seen a production capacity increase to 4.3 million tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.1% [4][20]. Production Side - The production of acetic acid ethyl ester in China began in the 1970s, with significant growth in capacity observed in the 21st century, reaching 3.53 million tons by 2013 [4]. - In 2024, the total production volume is expected to reach 2.4 million tons, marking a 16.05% increase from the previous year, with the industry capacity utilization rate remaining above 50% for three consecutive years [4][10]. Import and Export - China has achieved self-sufficiency in acetic acid ethyl ester, with imports remaining below 0.15 million tons. However, exports are on the rise, projected to exceed 500,000 tons in 2024, reflecting a 19.3% increase [8][21]. - The average export price has been declining, with a 10.03% drop expected in 2024, indicating intensified competition in international markets [8][12]. Consumption Side - The demand for acetic acid ethyl ester has been weak in traditional sectors like coatings and adhesives due to adjustments in the real estate market, leading to a supply-demand imbalance [10][12]. - The apparent consumption volume is projected to reach 188,450 tons in 2024, showing a year-on-year growth of 15.19% as exports expand [10][12]. Competitive Landscape - The acetic acid ethyl ester market in China is characterized by intense competition among both international chemical giants and domestic companies such as Hualu Hengsheng, Jiangsu Sopo, and others [14][16]. - The market concentration is decreasing, with the CR3 dropping from 43.7% in 2023 to 38.4% in 2024, indicating a more fragmented competitive environment [20]. Development Trends 1. Capacity Expansion and Increased Competition: The industry is set to add 480,000 tons of new capacity in 2025, intensifying market competition and pressuring smaller firms [20]. 2. Export Market as Growth Engine: The export volume is expected to continue rising, particularly in Southeast Asia, driven by domestic capacity release and cost advantages [21]. 3. Optimizing Downstream Demand Structure: The demand for acetic acid ethyl ester is shifting towards high-end applications in coatings and pharmaceuticals, while traditional sectors face slower growth [22]. 4. Accelerated Green and Smart Transformation: The industry is moving towards greener and smarter production methods, including the use of new catalysts and biotechnological processes [23].