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中信建投:电力设备新能源行业底部已铸就 上涨需等待积极的变化出现
智通财经网·2025-06-17 09:38

Core Insights - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that most segments of the power equipment and new energy industry are at the bottom, but for stock prices to rebound, positive changes are necessary. Currently, there are no additional opportunities for market capitalization recovery due to the lack of significant oversold conditions [1] - The report emphasizes that individual stocks may outperform the industry, and investors need to closely track both the industry and specific stocks. Potential positive changes in the second half of the year include sustained orders in the wind power sector, positive changes in the photovoltaic supply side, and possibly exceeding expectations in lithium battery demand [1] Lithium Battery Sector - The core issue in the lithium battery sector is the uncertainty in demand and a prolonged supply clearing process, leading to a lack of positive signals. Policy impacts on demand create uncertainty, particularly regarding domestic policies and the pace of electrification [2] - On the supply side, disorderly competition has ended, and prices have reached a certain bottom, but the timeline for price increases remains unclear. Some material companies have begun to raise prices, but the extent and sustainability of these increases have not met expectations [2] - Short-term focus should be on high-certainty performance and low-valuation leading segments, particularly in battery, structural components, and materials [2] Photovoltaic Sector - The implied unit profitability of photovoltaic companies is at historical low points, with future recovery dependent on supply clearing and demand growth. The main factors affecting the photovoltaic index over the past year have been expectations regarding industry clearing and inventory reduction [3] - The report suggests focusing on new technologies and cost reduction strategies, particularly in the battery component and silver paste sectors, as these areas are expected to see significant developments [3] Energy Storage Sector - The energy storage sector remains one of the fastest-growing segments in new energy, with significant opportunities outside the U.S. market, particularly in Europe where large storage projects are being developed [4] - In the domestic market, there is uncertainty in the second half of the year, which will depend on policy alignment and execution [4] Power Equipment Sector - The power equipment sector has shown weak performance recently, but the core segments maintain high prosperity. The market is expected to regain confidence as orders and performance materialize [5] - Key areas of focus include high-voltage investments, export opportunities, and data center growth, which are expected to drive future demand [6] Wind Power Sector - The wind power sector is recommended, particularly in the turbine segment, which has seen price increases and is expected to enter a new profit recovery cycle by 2026 [7] - The offshore wind power market is also highlighted, with strong demand expected both domestically and internationally [7] Hydrogen Energy Sector - The domestic green hydrogen projects are entering a production phase, with significant increases in orders for electrolysis equipment noted. The industry is expected to see core marginal changes focused on operational aspects [8] - Upcoming projects are anticipated to achieve green premiums in overseas markets, indicating strong future growth potential [8]