ASTS vs. IRDM: Which Satellite Connectivity Stock Should You Bet on?

Core Insights - AST SpaceMobile and Iridium Communications are leading providers in satellite communications, with AST SpaceMobile focusing on a global cellular broadband network accessible via standard smartphones, while Iridium offers dedicated global voice and data services through a large constellation of satellites [1][2][3] Company Overview - AST SpaceMobile is developing the first global cellular broadband network in space, utilizing a constellation of high-powered satellites in low Earth orbit (LEO) to provide service in areas lacking terrestrial coverage [1][4] - Iridium operates a mesh architecture of 66 operational LEO satellites, providing global voice and data communications services, minimizing the need for ground infrastructure [2][3] Competitive Dynamics - Both companies aim to eliminate dead zones and provide connectivity in underserved areas, but they face competition from industry leaders like SpaceX's Starlink and Globalstar [3][6] - AST SpaceMobile has deployed five commercial satellites, offering service across the U.S. with a significant patent portfolio, while Iridium's architecture allows for a robust global service [4][7] Financial Performance - AST SpaceMobile's stock has increased by 268% over the past year, while Iridium's stock rose by 14.6%, with the industry average growth at 35% [7][14] - AST SpaceMobile expects a staggering 1314.6% sales growth in 2025, contrasting with Iridium's more modest 5.4% growth projection [7][11] Valuation Metrics - Iridium is considered more attractively valued, trading at 3.57 times forward sales compared to AST SpaceMobile's 68.13 times [15][17] - Despite AST SpaceMobile's higher growth expectations, Iridium's steady revenue and EPS growth make it a more stable investment option [17] Future Outlook - Iridium anticipates significant revenue from its Satellite Time and Location business, projected to exceed $100 million annually by 2030, while AST SpaceMobile continues to innovate to maintain competitiveness [8][9] - Both companies are expected to improve their sales in 2025, but Iridium's consistent performance positions it favorably in the market [17]