世界黄金协会：超九成受访央行认为未来1年全球央行将增持黄金

Core Insights - Central banks continue to favor gold, with 95% of surveyed banks expecting to increase their gold reserves in the next 12 months, marking the highest level since the survey began in 2019, and a 17 percentage point increase from 2024 [1] - The survey collected responses from 73 central banks, the highest participation rate to date, with nearly 43% planning to increase their gold reserves in the coming year [1] - The main motivations for holding gold among central banks include its long-term value storage function (80%), portfolio diversification (81%), and performance during crises (85%) [1] Emerging Markets vs Developed Economies - Among the 58 surveyed emerging market and developing economy central banks, 48% (28 banks) expect to increase their gold reserves in the next 12 months, compared to 21% of developed economy central banks, with both figures higher than the previous year [2] - Inflation (84%) and geopolitical issues (81%) are primary concerns for emerging market and developing economy central banks, while 67% and 60% of developed economy central banks share similar views, respectively [2] - The global financial and geopolitical environment is characterized by uncertainty, leading central banks to consider gold a strategic asset for risk mitigation [2] Future Reserve Composition - 73% of surveyed central banks anticipate a moderate or significant decline in the dollar's share of global reserves over the next five years, while the shares of other currencies like the euro and renminbi, as well as gold, are expected to rise [2]