宏观政策工具箱储备充足 为经济稳定运行保驾护航

Economic Performance - China's economy has shown strong resilience and vitality in 2023, with key indicators such as the service production index and retail sales of consumer goods growing by 5.9% and 5% year-on-year respectively from January to May, indicating an acceleration compared to the first quarter [1] - In May, the industrial added value increased by 5.8% year-on-year, while retail sales of consumer goods grew by 6.4%, marking a 1.3 percentage point increase from April [1] - The service production index also saw a year-on-year growth of 6.2% in May, up by 0.2 percentage points from April [1] Policy Impact - The implementation of supportive consumption policies has significantly boosted consumer spending, with May's retail sales growth exceeding market expectations [2] - The macroeconomic policies have been described as proactive and effective, enhancing consumption vitality and driving production growth [2] - The government has a robust policy toolbox to dynamically adjust macroeconomic policies in response to changing conditions, ensuring continued support for economic stability [2] Future Outlook - The National Development and Reform Commission is focused on improving the policy toolbox for stabilizing employment and the economy, which is seen as a catalyst for economic growth and structural optimization [3] - Expectations for further monetary easing and fiscal measures to support consumption, particularly in the context of trade-in policies, are anticipated in the second half of the year [3] - There is a consensus that growth-stabilizing policies will remain strong, with an emphasis on accelerating government bond issuance and ensuring liquidity in the market [3][4]