美国国会预算办公室：特朗普税改将增加2.8万亿美元财政赤字，高盛：财政状况不可持续

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that while tariff revenues may temporarily offset some revenue losses from tax cuts, the long-term fiscal sustainability of the U.S. remains in jeopardy due to increasing deficits and debt levels [1][3] - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the recent tax and spending bill passed by the House will increase the federal deficit by $2.8 trillion over the next decade, despite a projected annual GDP growth of 0.5% [1][2] - The CBO's dynamic analysis indicates that the bill will lead to a net increase in direct spending and a significant rise in debt interest payments, which are expected to add $441 billion to the overall fiscal burden [1][2] Group 2 - The Senate Republicans have introduced a revised version of the tax reform bill, retaining most core elements from the House version, including the extension of several tax cuts from 2017 [2] - Concerns about the impact of the tax reform on fiscal sustainability have led to rising U.S. Treasury yields, reflecting market apprehension regarding increased financing needs for the Treasury [3] - The uncertainty surrounding the passage of the tax reform bill in the Senate may exacerbate worries about fiscal sustainability amid slowing economic growth and high interest rates [3]