Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang·2025-06-18 02:35Core Viewpoint - The article highlights that state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China, characterized by low valuations, high profitability, and substantial dividends, have become a safe haven for investors amid rising geopolitical tensions and market volatility [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng China SOE Index has increased by over 4.5% since June 1, 2023, and nearly 20% over the past year, outperforming other indices [1]. - The index has risen by 21.08% since its launch on April 17, 2023, significantly surpassing the Hang Seng Index's 17.72% and the Shanghai Composite Index's 1.51% during the same period [2]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The top three sectors by weight in the Hang Seng China SOE Index are finance (43.4%), energy (22.4%), and telecommunications (17.1%), all of which are high-dividend sectors [2]. - Major companies in the top ten weighted stocks include China Construction Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, China Mobile, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation [2]. Group 3: Policy and Reform - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference in 2024 aims to enhance state-owned enterprise reforms, which are expected to provide new growth momentum and improve performance [2]. - The market anticipates that these reforms will lead to significant improvements in the operational efficiency and profitability of SOEs [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The current low valuation levels of SOEs, combined with accelerated mergers and acquisitions, are expected to raise the valuation center of these enterprises [3]. - The low interest rate environment may encourage long-term funds, such as insurance and pension funds, to increase their allocation to high-dividend SOEs [3]. - Improved liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market, driven by enhanced trading mechanisms and increased southbound capital inflows, is likely to benefit the Hang Seng China SOE Index [3].